Borrow Buy Build Blog

Matthew Siket Matthew Siket

The Mortgage Draft: Matching Offense to Lending Strategy

This strategy may pressure your pre-qualification letter…

Football season is almost here, and millions of fantasy General Managers are obsessing over their draft boards. When you are “on the clock” should you grab that trusty veteran who consistently adds 25 points week after week, or go deep with that zesty rookie with the low-four forty? If it’s up to me, I prefer the sleepers, because I am all about value.

Since I am terrible at Fantasy Football, I’ll stick to what I know, which is mortgages. I enjoy writing, so let me draw a quick parallel… you need to look at drafting a mortgage originator like it’s part of your fantasy housing roster. When you are borrowing money, you're not just the general manager making picks, you're also the head coach calling the plays to move the ball.

Bill Belichick shined by leveraging the running game or a spread offense based on his personnel. Likewise, you need to decide what lending philosophy matches your financial situation. Then ask yourself if you prefer the no frills ground and pound that favors reliability? Perhaps you prefer the creative, innovative approach of an Andy Reid?

Every bank, credit union, and brokerage runs its own "scheme." Some prefer to pound the ball between the A and B gaps with a single back. Others spread the field wide and rack up yards with the deep threat. RPOs can be exciting systems but realize they only work when you've got exactly the right personnel.

Hopefully you refrain from the auto-draft method and manually select the players that match your system. The smartest borrowers don't just pick any lender, they research and decide what kind of "offense" they want to run with a rate sheet that matches their coaching philosophy.

Now grab your favorite color of Gatorade, collect your dry erase pens, and let's break down the Mortgage Draft Board for Fall 2025. Five coaching philosophies, five offensive schemes, and five distinct types of lenders that could help you execute your game plan and score the ultimate touchdown: homeownership.

Think Like Bill Parcells? Draft a Big Bank (Power Run Offense)

Pigskin Parallel: Remember the dominance of the Dallas Cowboys dynasty of the 1990s? Aikman and Irvin always put on a good show, but it was Smith that made it clinical. Emmitt let that massive offensive line create a hole, and methodically marched down the field. Madden said it wasn't pretty, but it got results.

However, it was Bill Parcells not Jimmy Johnson that epitomized this approach. The Big Tuna was no-nonsense, fundamentally focused, and required everyone to be a blocker. "You are what your record says you are," he reminded the press. His teams reflected that philosophy: tough, reliable, and a championship contender.

Mortgage Model: Look no further than your national banking giants: Chase, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America. Like Parcells coaching the Giants, they believe in fundamentals: massive infrastructure, proven technology, and the rates to grind out victories even when the game gets tough.

Their Playbook:

  • Massive resources that permit loan amounts of any size

  • Standardized processes refined over decades

  • Relationship advantages provide their existing client base a home field advantage

When They Excel: Big banks dominate when your financial profile fits their mold perfectly. Think steady W-2 income, excellent credit scores and traditional property. They’re like the hotdog at Costco, never going away, and for all the wrong reasons. But, they will march you down the field all the way down to the peanut gallery.

Where They Struggle: Predictability can be a weakness. These institutions run the same plays repeatedly, and if your situation requires creativity, unlimited timeouts will not help. If you're self-employed, have unconventional income, or want to finance a unique property don't expect them to go to the booth for a replay.

The Bottom Line: Working with a big bank often feels like watching a methodical 12-play touchdown drive. It gets the job done reliably, but you might have to settle for field goals instead of highlight-reel scores.

Think Like Andy Reid? Draft an Independent Mortgage Broker (Spread Offense)

Pigskin Parallel: The spread offense revolutionized football. From Glanville’s Run & Shoot to the Mahomes Air Raid, this system spreads defenders thin and attacks from every conceivable angle.

Andy Reid perfected this art using creative play-calling, innovative formations, and the ability to find mismatches. He'll call a flea-flicker on 3rd and long or design a play that gets Tyreek Hill matched up against a Mike. Reid sees opportunities where others see problems.

Mortgage Model: That has independent mortgage brokers written all over it. Like Andy, they're constantly scheming, always looking for the creative angle that gets you to the end zone when traditional routes are covered.

Their Playbook:

  • Multiple wholesale lenders at their disposal (plus the Tackle for an eligible receiver)

  • Speed and flexibility to pivot when one option gets shut down

  • Creativity to find unconventional solutions for one of a kind borrowers

  • Personal attention since you're not just another file number

When They Excel: Brokers shine brightest for borrowers who don't fit the traditional mold. Gig workers, 1099 specialists, real estate investors, or anyone chasing specialized loan programs. Brokers can find the open receiver while traditional lenders cover the obvious routes.

Where They Struggle: Like the Air Raid offense in bad weather, brokers can sometimes stall when regulations tighten or with custom requests like single close construction loans and lot financing.

The Bottom Line: A good broker is like a quarterback with perfect field vision and legs to scramble. Should your first lender get flagged for holding, brokers should be able to make up for the penalty yards and loss of down.

Think Like Bill Walsh? Draft a Credit Union (West Coast Offense)

Pigskin Parallel: Bill Walsh literally invented the West Coast offense and changed the NFL forever. Instead of launching bombs, Walsh revolutionized football with precision missiles via short passes, perfect snap counts, and surgical drives that deconstructed defenses.

Walsh believed in fundamentals and preparation, but prioritized treating every player with respect. His "scripted plays" approach meant the first 15 plays of every game were carefully planned, designed to set the tone through precision.

Mortgage Model: Welcome to the credit union model, the Bill Walsh approach to lending. Like Walsh's 49ers, credit unions succeed through precision, preparation, and genuine care for their "players" (members).

Their Playbook:

  • Member-first philosophy that prioritizes your interests over shareholders

  • Competitive rates and lower fees for the perfect catch!

  • Personal relationships built on community trust

  • Steady, reliable service without the flashy marketing

When They Excel: Credit unions perfect the fundamentals. Some offer some exotic loan products, but they deliver what matters most: affordability, transparency, and genuine care for their members' financial well-being.

Where They Struggle: Limited brick & mortar and geographical restrictions. Like the West Coast offense, they stick to what works. If you are looking for super jumbo loan amounts or wealth management needs, their concessions stand may not have those snacks.

The Bottom Line: Credit unions run the mortgage equivalent of a flawless 80-yard drive, lacking drama and sidearm throws. They rarely force you into the punt formation.

Think Like Bill Belichick? Draft a Regional/ Community Bank (Pro-Style Offense)

Pigskin Parallel: The hallmark of pro-style offense is adaptability. No coach exemplified this better than than Bill Belichick. Teams like the Patriots could run or pass with equal effectiveness, reading the defense and adjusting at the line of scrimmage.

Belichick's mantra was "do your job” and the everyone bought into his situation schemes. One week he could run the ball 40 times, then the following week throw 50 passes, leveraging their strengths over opponents situational weaknesses. "The Patriot Way" wasn't just a slogan; it was a philosophy of accountability and execution.

The Mortgage Model: Regional and community banks embody a balanced approach to lending. They'll adapt their strategy to the market and focus on the results. Their playbook is a bit more diverse than the big banks and they are a bit more efficient.

Their Playbook:

  • Flexibility and feature jumbo products and alternative underwriting

  • Relationship lending where your banker actually knows your name

  • Quick decision-making without layers of corporate bureaucracy

When They Excel: Community banks shine when local knowledge counts. Need a construction loan or unique local property type? They can call the time out and set up the formation for the perfect play.

Where They Struggle: Sometimes they get squeezed between the rates from the big banks and the speed of brokers. They may lack the deepest product menus to compare apples to apples with the competition.

The Bottom Line: Community banks offer the “Goldilocks” package - not too big and not too small. They can be a perfect fit for borrowers who value relationship and local expertise.

Think Like Pete Carroll? Draft a Private Bank (RPO Specialists)

Pigskin Parallel: Today's offenses love deception, and who else would you select other than Pete Carroll for the job. He mastered the art of modern, dynamic offense, with a sprinkle of RPO and slip in the play-action fake. He would keep you guessing and brought out the best in dual-threat QBs like Russell Wilson. He could punish you with with his arm or his legs and you never knew what was next.

Carroll's philosophy was about creating multiple ways to win. It felt like spin the tail on the playbook because you could often see the deep ball, followed by a scramble, followed by a screen pass. His offenses were designed for players with elite skills who could make the same play look brand new.

Mortgage Model: Private banks and boutique lenders are the Pete Carroll disciples of mortgage lending. They offer sophisticated, multi-option strategies for clients with elite financial profiles.

Their Playbook:

  • Sophisticated financing strategies most people never hear about

  • Portfolio products based on assets, not income

  • Wealth management integration that coordinates lending with investment strategies

  • Customized terms that adapt to complex financial situations

When They Excel: Private banks execute plays that others can't even see. Need to finance a $5 million vacation home while maintaining your entire stock portfolio? They'll design solutions with all the cheat codes.

Unlike traditional lenders who send files to distant underwriting centers, private banks often make decisions in-house with loan committees focused on relationship. When you're leveraging $10 million in investment assets to buy a property, these teams stack the box with bankers who know your complete financial picture. Here guidelines are guidelines. Rules are for rookies.

Where They Struggle: Sad face because they are not options for everyday borrowers. The minimum account sizes and asset requirements put their services out of reach for most homebuyers. You are likely going to need those hefty deposits and wealth management accounts to get a callback.

The Bottom Line: Private banks are like perfect play action pass that only an elite QB can make. They are not for every play and every player, but when they do it, it’s unstoppable.

Your Championship Strategy?

In fantasy football, your draft determines whether you're golden or going home early. As a head coach selecting your mortgage strategy, and your lineup, you can dictate the outcome.

The secret isn't finding the "best" lender or “lowest” rates. The first call comes from you, deciding what kind of coach you are, how to manage your team, then then drafting the lender that matches your style:

  • Think Like Bill Parcells? Go Big Bank especially when you want predictability and have a straightforward financials

  • Think Like Andy Reid? Trade for a Broker because your situation requires creativity and multiple options

  • Think Like Bill Walsh? Pick a Credit Union when you prioritize community, precision, and competitive rates

  • Think Like Bill Belichick? Draft that Community Bank for local expertise and adaptability

  • Think Like Pete Carroll? Select a Private Bank when you need sophisticated, multi-option strategies

As your mortgage originator, my role shifts from offensive coordinator to assistant coach. I help you identify you gameplan (to defend your financial situation), aiding the right offensive scheme (lender type), and then suggest plays that give your team the best chance to drive down the field and score that preverbal six points: homeownership.

At the end of the day, whether you're drafting a fantasy lineup or a mortgage lender, one principle remains constant: the best strategy is the one that matches your philosophy and execution style.

Questions: msiket@libertyfcu.org or (602) 400-6518

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Matthew Siket Matthew Siket

The Self-Employed Mortgage Maze: Why Nearly Half of Applications Get Denied (And How to Beat the Odds)

https://chatgpt.com/c/689cf58a-ecb8-832e-811a-0785dcee728b#:~:text=Your%20CPA%20files%20taxes%20to%20save%20you%20money%20%E2%80%94%20your%20lender%20reads%20them%20to%20say%20no.

When you own the business, getting a mortgage is a different process.

If you're self-employed and thinking about buying a home, here's an interesting stat: 49% of self-employed mortgage applications get denied [1]. That's nearly one in two applications rejected before they even make it to the finish line.

Compare that to traditionally employed borrowers, and the picture becomes even starker. While your W-2 counterparts sail through underwriting with automated income verification via “the work number,” you're stuck explaining why your business expenses make your taxable income look depleted.

It does not seem fair. Your lender wants to see two years of income documentation plus income statements just to write a pre-qualification letter. The mortgage process for the self-employed is not broken, it’s just different. The purpose is not to dissuade you, it’s to inform you. Once you understand the rules of this particular game, you can play it to win.

By the Number: Self-Employed Borrowers Face an Uphill Battle

Let's start with the truth. Self-employed individuals now represent nearly 10% of the U.S. workforce as of 2024 [2], yet they face rejection rates that would make anyone's stomach drop. The data gets even more brutal when you break it down by generation:

•58% of Gen Z self-employed borrowers report loan denials

•60% of Millennials face the same fate

•42% of Gen X get turned away

•37% of Baby Boomers experience rejection[1]

What's driving the denial rates? It's not what you think.

Who’s the Boss? "Self-Employed" in the Eyes of a Lender

Here's where things get interesting and where most people get their first surprise. The mortgage industry's definition of "self-employed" is broader than you might expect, and it catches more people off guard than you'd think.

The 25% Rule: If you own 25% or more of any business, congratulations you're officially self-employed in the lender's eyes [3]. Doesn't matter if you receive a draw, get a W-2, or consider yourself a partner. Own a quarter of the company? You're considered the boss!

But the line doesn't stop there. The self-employed umbrella also includes:

1099 Income Recipients: Freelancers, consultants, contractors anyone whose primary income comes from 1099 forms rather than W-2s falls into this bucket. Even if you work with the same client for years and have predictable income, lenders see you as self-employed.

Real Estate Investors: For everyone who receives “mailbox money.” This is industry speak for people who receive passive income from investments, rental properties - long term or short term. Your income might be steady, but it's not coming from an employer's payroll department.

Commission & Bonus Heavy Earners: Here's where it gets tricky. Some lenders will treat borrowers whose income is heavily weighted toward commissions or bonuses as self-employed, especially if these variable components make up more than 25% of total compensation.

The reason for these broad definitions isn't arbitrary it's about predictability. Traditional lenders build their underwriting models around the baselining the income. That means drilling down to the regular and reoccurring income streams. If the W-2 includes bonus, overtime, incentive compensation it can be eligible for qualifying income, but it will be averaged. Any form of income that is variable even if it's substantial and consistent, gets shuffled into the "higher risk" category.

The Documentation Gauntlet: Why Your Paperwork Tells a Complicated Story

If defining "self-employed" is the first hurdle, documenting it is where the real fun begins. Traditional employees hand over two paystubs and a year or two of W-2, and they're done. Self-employed borrowers? Welcome to the show!

The Standard Document Checklist: Lenders typically demand your two most recent filed tax returns, including all the supporting cast of characters:

• Personal returns (1040s) with all schedules which could mean,

• Business returns (1065s for partnerships, 1120s for corporations) which could require

• Supporting attachments: W-2s, K-1s and often IRS form 4868, for those extension filings

• Plus Year End Profit and Loss with balance sheets for the prior year in addition to Year to Date P&Ls.

But here's where the system gets particularly cruel. Lenders don't just want to see your income, they want to analyze it. And their analysis follows rules that can feel like they were designed by someone who's never run a business. Now here’s where it gets down right spooky: most of this analysis is outsourced to companies overseas or completed by income software like “Loan Beam.” Even if you submit all of your financials and they are squeaky clean, there’s more.

It’s a Trap! Here's how lenders typically evaluate your income:

Scenario 1 - Income Increases Year-Over-Year: If your income went up from year one to year two, they'll average the two years. Sounds fair, right? Made $80,000 in year one and $120,000 in year two? They'll use $100,000 for qualification purposes.

Scenario 2 - Income Decreases: If your most recent year shows lower income than the previous year, they take the lower number. Period. Made $120,000 in year one and $100,000 in year two? You're qualifying based on $100,000, not the average.

Lenders love the conservative approach. If the income is declining year over year they will want to see an explanation for it as well. This approach ignores the reality of business cycles, seasonal fluctuations, or strategic decisions that might temporarily reduce taxable income. It's a one-size-fits-all approach applied to situations that are anything but standard.

The Profit & Loss Statement: A Catch-22

Here's where things get truly crazy. Most lenders require current profit and loss statements to supplement your tax returns. The logic makes sense they want to see what's happening in your business right now, not just what happened when you filed taxes months ago.

It’s reasonable to prove active income, however, this creates a no-win situation:

If Your P&L Shows Declining Income: Uh oh! The underwriter sees this as “added risk” and becomes more conservative with your application. Even if the decline is temporary or strategic, it complicates your approval chances.

If Your P&L Shows Increasing Income: You'd think this would help, right? Wrong. Lenders typically won't give you credit for income that's not yet reflected until it’s filed, with tax returns. Your P&L might show you're having your best year ever, but it doesn't help your qualification one bit. Even if it’s audited, so don’t try it!

The 4868 Nightmare: If you're one of the many self-employed individuals who files extensions and ends up with 18+ months between your most recent tax filing and your mortgage application, you're in for a world of hurt. That means more documentation and more scrutiny, requiring the 2 year comparison to include Year End and Year To Date income statements.

The Two-Year Rule: Law or Guideline?

Most lenders will tell you they require two years of self-employment history. They'll say it with conviction, as if they are Judge Dredd. But here's what they don't tell you: it's not always the law of the land.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Guidelines: The government-sponsored enterprises that buy most mortgages do prefer two years of self-employment history, but their guidelines include exceptions[3]:

•If you were previously employed in the same field and can demonstrate relevant experience

•If you have strong financial reserves and excellent credit

•If you can provide additional documentation showing business stability

The Crux: Many lenders apply the two-year rule rigidly because it's easier than doing actual dirty work. It's simpler to say "no" based on a timeline than to evaluate the actual strength of your business and financial position.

Depending on your circumstances it pays to shop around. Some lenders are okay with making the exception, some reserve these types of loans for their portfolio. Therefore, it is imperative to partner with a lender that can read your financials and know where to direct the underwrite.

What NOT to Do: The Panic Response That Makes Everything Worse

When self-employed borrowers get their first mortgage denial, panic sets in. But it should not lead to bad decisions that can make an already difficult situation much worse.

Don’t Google "Bank Statement Loan": This is the classic mistake. You get denied by a traditional lender, so you start searching for alternatives. Bank statement loans pop up in your search results, and suddenly they look like the answer to your prayers.

Here's the reality: bank statement loans are expensive. They’re not a magic bullet either. They typically charge premium rates and extra fees for the “light” analysis. It’s also important to consider that they do not give you 100% credit for every deposit. They do require some regularity and consistency over a 12 or 24 month timeline.

Nevertheless, bank statement loans have their place and should be used for borrowers with truly complex income situations. But they shouldn't be your first option just because one lender couldn't figure out your tax returns.

It’s not worth re-filing if there is not an error to begin with. Accountants to goofy things but changing your tax strategy while a file is in process can create inconsistencies that dig a deeper hole. Further, you might end up paying more in taxes to qualify for a mortgage, only to find out the lender still won't approve you for other reasons.

If your lender is not asking you the right questions, that should be a tell. Most loan officers do not calculate the income because they don’t have the comfort level or understand the guidelines.

What TO Do: The Strategic Approach That Actually Works

Instead of panicking, take a strategic approach that addresses the real issues in your application.

Work with a Lender Who Actually Understands Your Business: This isn't just about finding someone who says they work with self-employed borrowers. Plenty of lenders claim that. You need someone who can actually read and interpret your tax returns, understands your industry, and knows how to present your income story in the best possible light.

The right lender will:

• Understand the difference between cash flow and taxable income

• Connect the dots between personal and business funds

• Recognize industry-specific income patterns and seasonal fluctuations

Prepare Your Documentation Story: Don't just hand over some of tax returns and hope for the best. Organize your file so that the lender can respond with questions and insight that helps craft the approval. This might include:

• CPA letter explaining the make up of short term debt on the schedule L

• Documentation of long-term client relationships or contracts

• Evidence of business growth and stability

• Explanation of any income fluctuations or one-time events

Consider Portfolio Lenders: Portfolio lenders leverage their balance sheet instead of selling them to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. This means they can use their own underwriting guidelines instead of following government-sponsored enterprise rules. They often have more flexibility with self-employed borrowers.

The Real Solution: Expertise That Makes the Difference

Here's the truth that most people don't want to hear: getting a mortgage as a self-employed borrower isn't about finding a magic loan program or a special lender who ignores the rules. It's about working with someone who understands the rules well enough to work within them effectively. The mortgage industry hasn't changed its fundamental approach to self-employed borrowers, but the right professional can navigate that system in ways that dramatically improve your chances of approval.

What Expertise Actually Looks Like: A lender who loves self-employed borrowers will:

• Review your tax returns before you apply and identify potential issues

• Calculate your qualifying income using all available methods to maximize the amount

• Understand how to structure your application to address common concerns

• Ask you the tough questions (and your CPA too!)

This isn't about bending rules or finding loopholes. It's about understanding the system well enough to present your financial picture in the strongest possible way within existing guidelines.

The Two-Year Rule Isn't Always the Law: Remember how lenders love to cite the two-year self-employment requirement? An experienced professional knows when and how to work around this guideline. Sometimes files are better served with more than the two year minimum. Last, they understand the exceptions, what warrants them, and know how to document them.

Reading Between the Lines: Tax returns tell a story, but it's not always the story you think they're telling. An expert can read your returns and identify:

• Income that can be added back for qualification purposes

• Deductions for add backs

• Expanded analysis beyond two years that support your application

The Bottom Line: You Don't Have to Accept "No" as the Final Answer

If you're self-employed and you've been told you can't qualify for a mortgage, or if you're worried about applying because you've heard horror stories, here's what you need to understand: the system is a mission, but it's not impossible.

The 49% denial rate for self-employed borrowers isn't a law of nature it's a sign of the times. Lenders are chasing ways to reduce production costs. Self-employed files are manually intensive and often require several levels of approval. Versus the opportunity to write a dozen wage earner loans where the income is automatically verified and accepted by the agencies. Often it is a business decision.

But here's the encouraging news: the 51% who do get approved aren't necessarily earning more money or running better businesses than those who get denied. They're just working with professionals who know how to navigate the system effectively.

You chose self-employment for good reasons. Perhaps for the freedom to control your schedule, the ability to earn more than you could in a traditional job, or the satisfaction of building something from scratch. Do yourself a favor and match your values with a lender that sees it in the same light. You chose a different path and that different requires a different approach.

This expertise gap is why shopping around isn't just about finding better rates it's about finding the right relationship.

Self-Employed and Struggling with Mortgage Approval? There's Help Available

If you're reading this and recognizing your own frustrations, you're not alone. Thousands of successful self-employed individuals face these same challenges every year. The difference between those who eventually get approved and those who give up isn't usually their financial qualifications. Rather it's whether they find the right professional.

You don't have to figure this out alone. The mortgage process for self-employed borrowers is complex enough that even experienced business owners benefit from working with someone who specializes in these situations.

You don't have to settle for expensive alternative financing. Bank statement loans and other non-traditional products have their place, but they shouldn't be your first option just because a few lenders couldn't understand your tax returns.

You don't have to wait years to buy a home. Even if you don't meet every traditional guideline, there are often ways to structure your application that can get you approved sooner than you think.

Ready to turn your self-employment success into homeownership? The path forward starts with a conversation with someone who actually understands your situation and has the expertise to navigate the system effectively. Don't let another month go by wondering if homeownership is possible. Find out what's really standing between you and mortgage glory. Overcome it, and then show others how you did it!

References

[1] Truss Financial Group. (2024, August 31). Why 49% of Self-Employed Mortgage Applications Are Denied—and What to Do About It. EIN Presswire. https://www.kxan.com/business/press-releases/ein-presswire/739728085/why-49-of-self-employed-mortgage-applications-are-denied-and-what-to-do-about-it/

[2] Verus Mortgage Capital. (2025, February 20). Lenders: Approve Self-Employed Borrowers Without Standard Docs. https://verusmc.com/lenders-approve-self-employed-borrowers-without-standard-docs/

[3] Freddie Mac. (2024). Qualifying for a Mortgage When You're Self-Employed. My Home by Freddie Mac.

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Matthew Siket Matthew Siket

The Real Story Behind Rent vs Buy: What 10 Years of Data Reveals

You've heard the advice a thousand times: "Buying builds wealth, renting throws money away." But what if I told you that decision isn't actually about monthly payments or tax benefits? After analyzing a complete 10 year cycle of real data from a premium property, the truth is simpler and more brutal than most realize. The rent vs buy decision comes down to one thing:

Appreciation Rates. Everything else is noise.

The Arizona Reality Check

Here's what actually happened to a sample property in Scottsdale (Zip code 85258). Backed up by Zillow data, we tracked historical values ten years apart:

  • July 2015: $503,000

  • July 2025: $1,000,000

    = Annual appreciation: 7.14%

Note, use of round figures in the home value and not the highest online estimate.

Meanwhile, rent in the same market grew from $3,050 to $5,175 monthly—a 5% annual growth rate over the same period.

When your property value grows at 7.14% and rent climbs 5%, that 2.14 percentage point spread becomes a wealth creation machine. A buyer who purchased in 2015 with 20% down generated a $500k+ advantage over renting by 2025.

But here's what proves the point: when we tested scenarios with 3% appreciation (the rate most financial advisors assume), the break-even point stretched to 6-8 years. The difference between 3% and 7.14% appreciation completely flipped the recommendation.

AZ insight: In premium markets like North Scottsdale, Tempe, or (Arcadia) Phoenix, the identified spread has consistently outpaced national averages. Then there are places like Paradise Valley which is next level. The state's population growth, business-friendly environment, attractive property taxes, and luxury inventory in established areas create pricing power that rental markets can't match, even with 5% increases. Pheonix has a solid track history for growth, and in 2020 Phoenix reclaimed the 5th largest city from Philadelphia.

The Early Asset Acquisition Advantage

The 10-year data set reveals something uncomfortable about wealth building: even modest appreciation spreads, amplified by leverage, create massive wealth gaps over time.

Our analysis tested down payments from 0% to 30%, including mortgage insurance penalties for loans below 20% down. The result? Even with a smaller 2.14 point spread, buying dominated across every scenario.

Consider the 2015 purchase results over 10 years:

  • 0% down: $559,655 advantage over renting

  • 20% down: $565,495 advantage over renting

  • 30% down: $554,215 advantage over renting

The sweet spot emerged at 20% down since it nixed costly mortgage insurance premiums.

Why does this work with just a 2.14 point spread? Because that seemingly small difference compounds on the full property value, not just your down payment. A $100,600 down payment (20%) on a $503,000 property generated $497,000 in appreciation alone over 10 years, while rent payments totaled $471,240 with no equity to show.

The wealth building reality: Early asset acquisition works because real estate appreciation compounds on the entire asset value. Even modest spreads between appreciation and rent growth, sustained over a decade, create life changing wealth differences. I hate saying this, but time in the market beats timing the market, especially when you can use leverage to amplify even a measely 2% point advantage.

When to Rent and Stay Liquid: The 2025 Decision

Despite the strong case for buying, specific signals should keep you RENTING:

Rent when the spread disappears: Our analysis shows the magic happens in the spread. When appreciation falls below 7% while rent growth stays at 5%, that shrinking gap isn't enough to overcome transaction costs and higher monthly payments for holds less than 5 years.

Rent when you can't afford the premium: The 2015 data demonstrate buyers initially paid (all-in taxes, insurance, and dues) of $2,661/month versus $3,050 rent. It actually costs less to own with 20% down. But 2025 rates at 6.875% flip this equation. Today's buyers face significant monthly premiums that must be affordable for 5+ years.

Rent when your timeline is uncertain: Even with 7.14% appreciation, the data shows renting wins for periods under 4-5 years due to transaction costs and mortgage front-loading. Short holds favor renting regardless of market performance.

The 2025 liquidity question: This year presents a unique scenario. Mortgage rates hover 7% while many properties show signs of peak pricing after 5+ years of rapid appreciation. If you have been on the sidelines the past few years- no FOMO. Prepare yourself by staying liquid.

For 2025 specifically, consider staying liquid if:

  • You're targeting markets where recent appreciation has consistently exceeded 7% but fundamentals are weakening

  • You have less than 15% to put down (monthly payments with mortgage insurance often create unsustainable cash flow)

  • You're in geographic areas where the appreciation-to-rent-growth spread is narrowing below 2 percentage points

However, if you're in growth markets like Phoenix with strong population and job growth fundamentals, constrained supply the appreciation advantage likely continues. Other cities with similar dynamics are Nashville, and Austin.

The Bottom Line

The rent vs buy decision isn't about monthly payments, tax benefits, or building equity. It's about appreciation rates versus your cost of capital.

Buy when: Appreciation consistently exceeds rent growth by 2+ percentage points, you have a 5+ year timeline, and you can manage the monthly costs without financial stress.

Rent when: The appreciation-to-rent spread narrows below 2 percentage points, your timeline is short, or current the spread is unsustainable. Seek out other wealth-building activities.

For 2025: Markets showing sustainable 6%+ appreciation against 4-5% rent growth still favor buying with 15-20% down payments. The key is finding markets where the 2+ point spread has structural support, not just recent momentum.

The Scottsdale case study proves that even a "ho-hum" 2.14 percentage point spread (7.14% appreciation versus 5% rent growth) gives the advantage to buyers. The question isn't whether real estate can build wealth it's whether your specific market and timeline support that wealth building. Stop overthinking the monthly payment comparison. Focus on the spread between appreciation and rent growth in your target market. That spread, amplified by leverage and compounded over time, determines your wealth outcome.

Your next move: Research, research, and more research. Analyze your target market's 10-year appreciation history versus local rent growth trends. If appreciation consistently exceeds rent growth by 2+ percentage points with strong fundamentals, buy. If the spread is inconsistent or narrowing, rent and wait.

Famous last words. This only works if you can hold for the full cycle. The wealth creation happens in years 5-10, not years 1-3. Make sure you're long on the property.

Data deceives but does not lie. Leverage it.

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Matthew Siket Matthew Siket

Physician Mortgage Loans Arizona | 100% Financing for Doctors

Arizona Housing Market Guide for New Physicians

Arizona physician mortgage loans with 100% financing and no down payment for doctors

Arizona physician mortgage loans with 0% down, no PMI. Exclusive financing for residents, fellows & doctors in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Tucson. Apply today.

The path to becoming a physician is marked by years of intensive education, probability of student debt, and a delayed timeline to earning full income. For medical professionals in Arizona, this unique financial journey often creates barriers to homeownership that traditional mortgage products simply aren't designed to address. That's where physician mortgage loans come in, specialized financing solutions that recognize the realities of a medical career and remove the typical obstacles standing between doctors and their dream homes.

Whether you're a resident just starting your medical journey, a fellow pursuing specialized training, or an established physician ready to put down roots in the Grand Canyon State, understanding physician mortgage loans could be the key to unlocking homeownership sooner than you thought possible.

Understanding Physician Mortgage Loans

Physician mortgage loans are specialized home financing products designed exclusively for medical professionals. Unlike conventional mortgages that rely heavily on current income and debt-to-income ratios, these loans take into account the earning potential and career trajectory unique to physicians.

Our physician loan program focuses specifically on purchase transactions for owner-occupied primary residences, with no cash-out refinancing options. This targeted approach ensures the program serves its intended purpose: helping medical professionals achieve homeownership for their primary residence.

Key Features That Set Physician Loans Apart

The standout features of physician mortgage loans address the most common challenges doctors face when seeking traditional financing:

Flexible Down Payment Options: Perhaps the most significant advantage is the ability to finance up to 100% of the home's value, meaning qualified borrowers can purchase a home with no down payment required. This feature alone can help physicians enter the housing market years earlier than they might otherwise be able to.

No Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): Even when financing above 80% of the home's value—a threshold that typically triggers PMI requirements—physician loans waive this additional monthly cost. This can save borrowers hundreds of dollars each month.

Accommodating Credit Requirements: With a minimum credit score requirement of 680, the program recognizes that medical professionals may have limited credit history due to their extended education timeline but maintains reasonable standards for responsible lending.

Flexible Loan Terms: Borrowers can choose from fixed-rate loans with 15 or 30-year terms, or adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) with initial fixed periods of 5, 7, or 10 years, allowing for customization based on career stage and financial goals.

Program Details and Loan Structure

Understanding the specific parameters of physician mortgage loans helps medical professionals determine how much home they can afford and what to expect during the application process.

Loan Amount Tiers and Requirements

The program operates on a tiered structure that adjusts loan-to-value ratios based on the loan amount:

For loans up to $1,000,000: Borrowers can access 100% financing with no down payment required, making homeownership immediately accessible even for those who haven't had time to save for a substantial down payment.

For loans between $1,000,001 and $1,500,000: The maximum loan-to-value ratio is 95%, requiring a 5% down payment. This tier accommodates physicians purchasing higher-value homes while maintaining reasonable risk parameters.

For loans between $1,500,001 and $2,000,000: The maximum loan-to-value ratio is 90%, requiring a 10% down payment. This highest tier serves established physicians purchasing luxury properties or homes in premium markets.

Additional Program Benefits

Beyond the core features, physician mortgage loans offer several additional advantages. There are no income restrictions, recognizing that physician compensation structures can vary significantly. Sellers can contribute up to 3% in concessions, providing additional flexibility in negotiations. For loans exceeding 80% loan-to-value ratio, escrow accounts are required to ensure property taxes and insurance are properly managed.

Documentation and Reserve Requirements

While physician loans are more flexible than conventional mortgages, they still require proper documentation to ensure borrower qualification and loan security.

Standard Documentation: All loans require a full appraisal and full title work to protect both borrower and lender interests.

Reserve Requirements: The reserve requirements vary based on loan amount. For loans up to $1,000,000, borrowers must demonstrate three months of mortgage payments in reserves. For loans exceeding $1,000,000, reserves equal to 5% of the loan amount are required. These reserves provide a financial cushion and demonstrate the borrower's ability to manage the mortgage payment even if unexpected circumstances arise.

Eligibility: Who Qualifies for Physician Loans

Physician mortgage loans are available to medical professionals at various stages of their careers, recognizing that each phase comes with unique financial circumstances and challenges.

Eligible Medical Professionals

The program welcomes a broad range of medical professionals, including residents actively participating in graduate medical training programs, fellows engaged in post-residency specialized training, newly established physicians who have recently completed their training, and established physicians with ongoing practices.

Accepted Medical Degrees: Qualifying medical degrees include MD (Doctor of Medicine), DO (Doctor of Osteopathic Medicine), DDS (Doctor of Dental Surgery), DMD (Doctor of Dental Medicine), OD (Doctor of Optometry), PharmD (Doctor of Pharmacy), and DPM (Doctor of Podiatric Medicine). This comprehensive list recognizes the various paths within the medical field.

Employment Requirements by Career Stage

The employment requirements for physician loans are thoughtfully structured to accommodate the different career phases medical professionals experience.

For Residents, Fellows, and New Physicians

Medical professionals in training or just starting their careers have specific pathways to qualification. Current residents can qualify while actively in training, and those preparing to begin residency can qualify if their start date is within 90 days of the loan closing. New physicians who have completed training can qualify with a non-revocable employment contract that begins within 90 days of closing. Documentation requirements for this group include medical school diploma and transcripts, demonstrating completion of medical education. The program recognizes that these early-career physicians have strong earning potential despite currently limited income.

Arizona doctor mortgages featuring Phoenix Scottsdale Tucson markets

For Established Physicians

Physicians who have completed their training and begun practicing have different qualification pathways. Those employed by hospitals or physician groups must have been licensed and working in a non-resident capacity for at least 12 months. Self-employed physicians can qualify after being in practice for at least two full years, with tax returns documenting their income history.

For established physicians, required documentation includes a copy of their medical license and, if the position is new, their employment contract. This ensures the physician has the credentials and employment stability necessary to support the mortgage.

Income Continuity Requirement: Regardless of career stage, all applicants must demonstrate that their income is expected to continue for at least three years, providing reasonable assurance of repayment ability.

Additional Borrower Benefits

Qualified physician borrowers may be eligible for additional programs designed to make homeownership even more affordable. The Extra Credit Discount program can provide interest rate reductions based on the borrower's overall relationship and creditworthiness. The Purchase Plus program offers additional benefits that can reduce overall loan costs or provide extra flexibility during the purchase process. These supplementary programs recognize that physician borrowers often represent lower risk due to their education, earning potential, and professional stability, and reward them accordingly.

Why Physician Loans Work Particularly Well in Arizona

Arizona's medical market presents unique opportunities that make physician mortgage loans especially valuable for doctors choosing to practice in the state.

Growing Medical Markets

Arizona continues to attract medical professionals to major metropolitan areas including Phoenix, Scottsdale, Tucson, and Flagstaff. Each of these markets offers distinct advantages, from Phoenix's large healthcare systems and research opportunities to Scottsdale's lifestyle appeal and Flagstaff's unique mountain community atmosphere.

Housing Market Dynamics

The Arizona housing market has experienced significant appreciation in recent years, making it increasingly challenging for medical professionals to save for traditional down payments while also managing student loan obligations. Physician mortgage loans address this challenge directly by reducing or eliminating down payment requirements, allowing doctors to enter the market sooner and begin building equity.

Timing Advantages

For physicians, timing in real estate can be crucial. Starting a medical career often coincides with major life changes—completing residency, beginning a new job, sometimes starting a family. Physician loans allow medical professionals to align their housing decisions with their career transitions rather than waiting years to start building wealth.

Getting Started: Your Path to Homeownership

The process of obtaining a physician mortgage loan is designed to be straightforward while ensuring all necessary qualifications are met.

Pre-Approval Preparation

Before beginning your home search, gathering key documentation will streamline the pre-approval process. Employment documentation should include your current position details, employment contract, and if applicable, proof of upcoming position start dates. Your credit profile should be reviewed to ensure it meets the 680 minimum score requirement. Asset verification for reserve requirements should be prepared, demonstrating you have the necessary financial cushion.

Working with Specialists

Because physician mortgages have unique requirements and benefits, working with lenders who specialize in these products can make a significant difference in both the application experience and the loan terms you receive. Specialists understand the medical profession's career timeline and can guide you through options that best fit your specific situation.

Timeline Considerations

The physician loan process typically follows a similar timeline to conventional mortgages, but the specialized nature may require additional documentation review. Starting the pre-approval process early gives you a clear picture of your buying power and positions you to move quickly when you find the right home.

Making Your Decision

Physician mortgage loans represent a powerful tool for medical professionals ready to transition from renting to homeownership. The combination of flexible down payment requirements, no PMI, and recognition of future earning potential can make homeownership accessible years earlier than traditional financing would allow.

For physicians in Arizona, where housing markets continue to appreciate and medical opportunities abound, these loans offer a pathway to establishing roots in communities where they plan to build their practices and their lives.

Whether you're a resident looking ahead to your first attending position, a fellow preparing for the next phase of your career, or an established physician ready to upgrade your living situation, exploring physician mortgage options could be the key to unlocking your homeownership goals.

The medical profession demands years of dedication and sacrifice. Your path to homeownership doesn't have to require the same extended timeline. With physician mortgage loans designed specifically for your unique financial journey, you can focus on what you do best, caring for patients, while a specialized loan product takes care of making your homeownership dreams a reality.

Ready to explore your physician mortgage options in Arizona? Contact a physician loan specialist today to discuss your specific situation and begin your journey toward homeownership with confidence.

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